GGOALVIO

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/9/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gold Coast Knights are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Devonport City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast Knights hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Australia Cup, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast KnightsDWLWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Devonport CityWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gold Coast KnightsDevonport City
16.7Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power23.7
1.91xG1.38
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