GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 5/10/2026, 6:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Gold Coast Knights are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Brisbane Roar II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast Knights hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.2% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

78.2%

Model confidence

78.2%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast KnightsWDLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Brisbane Roar IILLWLW

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gold Coast KnightsBrisbane Roar II
69.7Attack48.5
51.5Defence21.2
57.6Form24.2
58.9Power33.1
3.90xG1.22
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