Gol Goharvs
Esteghlal Khuzestan
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/8/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gol Gohar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gol Gohar 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gol Gohar 3-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Original prediction
Gol Gohar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.3% | 41.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.8% | 32.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 23.9% | 26.6% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Projected Score
Gol Gohar 0–0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Gol Gohar
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Gol Gohar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60