Gol Goharvs
Aluminium Arak
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 9/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gol Gohar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gol Gohar 0-0 Aluminium Arak, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gol Gohar 0-2 Aluminium Arak
Original prediction
Gol Gohar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 46.3% | 43.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.7% | 34.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.15 | 22.0% | 22.0% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Projected Score
Gol Gohar 0–0 Aluminium Arak
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Gol Gohar
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Gol Gohar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gol GoharLWDWD
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Aluminium ArakDWDWD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gol GoharAluminium Arak
33.3Attack29.9
70.1Defence63.2
41.4Form43.7
49.9Power48.2
0.80xG0.49