GGOALVIO

Bosnia · 1st League - FBiH · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

GOŠK Gabela · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

GOŠK Gabela 0-2 Sloboda Tuzla

Original prediction

GOŠK Gabela

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7052.8%43.3%-9.5 pts
Draw3.3027.2%27.6%0.4 pts
Away4.4820.0%29.1%9.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

GOŠK Gabela

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

GOŠK Gabela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GOŠK GabelaLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sloboda TuzlaWDWLW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GOŠK GabelaSloboda Tuzla
55.6Attack72.2
88.9Defence66.7
83.3Form61.1
76.7Power66.0
1.35xG1.12
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