Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Verde · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Goiânia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Rio Verde are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rio Verde hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.0% in the Goiano - 2, while Rio Verde holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rio Verde
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
17.0%
Rio Verde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40