Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Goiânia 0-0 Goianésia, with an exact score probability of 37%.
Prediction record
Final result
Goiânia 2-3 Goianésia
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.8% | 30.3% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.1% | 38.4% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.1% | 31.4% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Goiânia 0–0 Goianésia
Exact score probability: 37%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GoiâniaDDWLL
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
GoianésiaDDWWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GoiâniaGoianésia
16.7Attack40.0
83.3Defence66.7
46.7Form63.3
51.9Power59.7
0.49xG0.54