GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Goiatuba EC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Capital Brasilia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Capital Brasilia hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Goiatuba ECLDWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Capital BrasiliaWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Goiatuba ECCapital Brasilia
41.2Attack52.4
80.4Defence81.0
64.7Form71.4
63.6Power69.0
0.63xG0.70
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