GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/23/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Goias are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Universitario are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.9 against 52.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GoiasDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UniversitarioWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GoiasUniversitario
29.2Attack33.3
66.7Defence70.4
50.0Form48.1
50.9Power52.4
0.64xG0.67
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