GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 8/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Goias are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while São Bernardo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and São Bernardo hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Serie B, while São Bernardo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

São Bernardo

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

15.3%

São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GoiasLWLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
São BernardoLWLLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GoiasSão Bernardo
34.9Attack49.2
58.7Defence61.9
50.8Form47.6
50.3Power54.3
0.85xG1.12
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