Goiasvs
São Bernardo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 8/28/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Goias 0-0 São Bernardo, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Goias 2-1 São Bernardo
Original prediction
São Bernardo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 49.6% | 33.1% | -16.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.6% | 29.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.8% | 37.4% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Projected Score
Goias 0–0 São Bernardo
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
São Bernardo
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GoiasDLLWL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
São BernardoDDLWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
GoiasSão Bernardo
31.9Attack45.8
59.7Defence62.5
45.8Form44.4
48.0Power52.4
0.77xG1.02