Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Goias are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 44.0-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60