Goiasvs
Nautico Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/19/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goias · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Goias 0-0 Nautico Recife, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Goias 0-0 Nautico Recife
Original prediction
Goias
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 57.3% | 42.4% | -14.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 24.1% | 28.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 4.99 | 18.6% | 29.2% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.9 pts
Projected Score
Goias 0–0 Nautico Recife
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Goias
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Goias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GoiasWWLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico RecifeLLDWL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GoiasNautico Recife
34.3Attack39.4
59.6Defence57.6
48.5Form42.4
49.6Power48.0
0.94xG0.87