Goiasvs
Gimnasia L.P.
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/8/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Goias are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnasia L.P. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Goias hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80