Goiasvs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Goias 0-0 Fortaleza EC, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Goias 0-1 Fortaleza EC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 37.0% | 28.8% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.8% | 33.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 31.3% | 37.9% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Goias 0–0 Fortaleza EC
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GoiasWDLLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Fortaleza ECDWDDD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
GoiasFortaleza EC
33.3Attack37.3
60.0Defence70.7
48.0Form54.7
49.3Power55.8
0.62xG0.83