GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/9/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Goias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Estudiantes L.P. are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes L.P.

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GoiasWLDWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Estudiantes L.P.WWWWW

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
GoiasEstudiantes L.P.
29.2Attack69.4
66.7Defence88.9
50.0Form72.2
50.9Power74.6
0.47xG1.44
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