Goiasvs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/23/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Goias are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00