Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goias · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Goias 0-0 Avai, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Goias 2-1 Avai
Original prediction
Goias
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 48.5% | 42.1% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.3% | 30.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 22.2% | 27.4% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Projected Score
Goias 0–0 Avai
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Goias
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Goias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GoiasWLLWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AvaiDLLLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GoiasAvai
33.3Attack34.5
59.5Defence57.1
46.4Form35.7
48.6Power44.8
0.93xG0.75