Goiasvs
Atletico Goianiense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/26/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Goianiense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Goias 0-0 Atletico Goianiense, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Goias 0-1 Atletico Goianiense
Original prediction
Atletico Goianiense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 36.6% | 28.9% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.4% | 39.5% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Projected Score
Goias 0–0 Atletico Goianiense
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Goianiense
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Atletico Goianiense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80