Goiasvs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/6/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Goias 0-0 Athletic Club, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Goias 2-1 Athletic Club
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 50.4% | 35.1% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.2% | 30.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 21.3% | 34.4% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Goias 0–0 Athletic Club
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GoiasLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Athletic ClubLDDWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GoiasAthletic Club
32.3Attack39.8
58.1Defence62.4
45.2Form45.2
47.4Power50.5
0.78xG0.92