Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goianésia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Goianésia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tupy FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Goianésia hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Goiano - 2, while Goianésia holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Goianésia
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
19.4%
Goianésia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00