Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goianésia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Goianésia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Trindade are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and goianésia hold a 41.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Goiano - 2, favouring Goianésia with 15.7% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Goianésia
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
15.7%
Goianésia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00