Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goianésia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Goianésia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Morrinhos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Goianésia hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Goiano - 2, while Goianésia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Goianésia
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
14.7%
Goianésia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40