Goianésiavs
Grêmio Anápolis
COMPLETEDBrazil · Goiano - 2 · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goianésia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Goianésia 1-0 Grêmio Anápolis, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Goianésia 2-2 Grêmio Anápolis
Original prediction
Goianésia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.0% | 62.8% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 21.8% | 23.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 7.31 | 12.2% | 14.1% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Projected Score
Goianésia 1–0 Grêmio Anápolis
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Goianésia
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Goianésia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GoianésiaWDDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Grêmio AnápolisDDLLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
GoianésiaGrêmio Anápolis
45.5Attack33.3
63.6Defence51.5
66.7Form27.3
61.7Power39.1
1.53xG0.62