Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goianésia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Goianésia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Goiânia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Goianésia hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the Goiano - 2, while Goianésia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Goianésia
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
20.2%
Goianésia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40