Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goianésia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Goianésia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Crixás EC are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Goianésia hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Goiano - 2, while Goianésia holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Goianésia
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
12.5%
Goianésia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00