Goianésiavs
Bom Jesus EC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Goiano - 2 · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Goianésia 0-0 Bom Jesus EC, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Goianésia 1-0 Bom Jesus EC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.3% | 33.0% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.4% | 32.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.3% | 35.0% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Goianésia 0–0 Bom Jesus EC
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GoianésiaWWLDL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bom Jesus ECWWDDD
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GoianésiaBom Jesus EC
43.8Attack43.8
62.5Defence75.0
56.3Form60.4
56.8Power62.1
0.69xG0.91