Goczałkowice Zdrójvs
ROW Rybnik
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ROW Rybnik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Goczałkowice Zdrój 0-1 ROW Rybnik
Original prediction
ROW Rybnik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.6% | 33.1% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.6% | 26.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.8% | 40.5% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
ROW Rybnik
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
ROW Rybnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20