Goczałkowice Zdrójvs
Barycz Sułów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barycz Sułów · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-1 Barycz Sułów
Original prediction
Barycz Sułów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.1% | 23.3% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.3% | 24.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.6% | 52.4% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Barycz Sułów
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Barycz Sułów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60