Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rouen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gobelins 0-1 Rouen, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
Original prediction
Rouen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.64 | 25.0% | 17.0% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 27.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.7% | 55.2% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Projected Score
Gobelins 0–1 Rouen
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Rouen
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Rouen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GobelinsLWDLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RouenWLWWD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GobelinsRouen
25.9Attack63.0
66.7Defence81.5
44.4Form74.1
48.7Power72.8
0.45xG1.24