Gobelinsvs
Bourg-en-bresse 01
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/19/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gobelins · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gobelins 1-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gobelins 1-1 Bourg-en-bresse 01
Original prediction
Gobelins
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.6% | 47.3% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 29.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.6% | 23.7% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Projected Score
Gobelins 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Gobelins
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Gobelins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GobelinsLDDWL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bourg-en-bresse 01LLLLL
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
GobelinsBourg-en-bresse 01
22.2Attack16.7
66.7Defence38.9
44.4Form16.7
47.5Power28.3
1.23xG0.65