Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gobelins · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gobelins 1-0 Aubagne, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gobelins 0-0 Aubagne
Original prediction
Gobelins
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.2% | 43.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.5% | 29.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.3% | 26.7% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
Gobelins 1–0 Aubagne
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Gobelins
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Gobelins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GobelinsDWLWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AubagneWLLLD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GobelinsAubagne
33.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence58.3
58.3Form25.0
55.9Power35.2
1.21xG0.76