Goavs
Regar-TadAZ
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 10/17/2026, 1:25:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Regar-TadAZ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Goa 1-2 Regar-TadAZ
Original prediction
Regar-TadAZ
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.4% | 34.9% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.5% | 27.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.1% | 37.5% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Regar-TadAZ
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Regar-TadAZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20