Goavs
Chennaiyin
COMPLETEDIndia · Indian Super League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Goa 1-1 Chennaiyin
Original prediction
Goa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.7% | 43.1% | -14.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.5% | 27.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 5.13 | 17.8% | 29.2% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Goa
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Goa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GoaLLDLW
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ChennaiyinLLLLD
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GoaChennaiyin
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.45xG1.23