GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

GO Ahead Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

GO Ahead Eagles 3-2 Telstar

Original prediction

GO Ahead Eagles

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5660.2%67.6%7.4 pts
Draw4.4021.4%16.4%-4.9 pts
Away5.0818.5%16.0%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.4–17%

Predicted outcome

GO Ahead Eagles

Probability

67.6%

Model confidence

67.6%

GO Ahead Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GO Ahead EaglesLDDDD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
TelstarLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GO Ahead EaglesTelstar
74.1Attack37.0
29.6Defence33.3
48.1Form22.2
51.2Power33.7
3.23xG1.39
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