GO Ahead Eaglesvs
Sparta Rotterdam
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 10/10/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GO Ahead Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GO Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam
Original prediction
GO Ahead Eagles
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 54.5% | 65.0% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 23.0% | 17.7% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 22.5% | 17.3% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
GO Ahead Eagles
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
GO Ahead Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00