GO Ahead Eaglesvs
Groningen
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/12/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GO Ahead Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen
Original prediction
GO Ahead Eagles
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 41.2% | 50.0% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 24.4% | 21.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 34.4% | 28.7% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
GO Ahead Eagles
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
GO Ahead Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40