GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aston Villa · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

GO Ahead Eagles are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Aston Villa are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 44.5-point power-rating edge (35.2 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aston Villa

Probability

77.5%

Model confidence

77.5%

Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GO Ahead EaglesLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Aston VillaWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GO Ahead EaglesAston Villa
25.0Attack68.9
41.7Defence82.2
29.2Form86.7
35.2Power79.6
0.47xG2.43
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