VeikkausliigaVeikkausliiga
Saturday, 11 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Gnistan

Gnistan

Home
42
Full time
Mariehamn

Mariehamn

Away
Markku.fi Areena
GoalVio prediction
71% confidence
Gnistan(62%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction correct— Result: Gnistan
Win probability
Gnistan
62%
Draw
35%
Mariehamn
3%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

71% confidence
Gnistan62%
Draw35%
Mariehamn3%

Gnistan leads with 62% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Gnistan head into this in Veikkausliiga fixture at Markku.fi Areena in unknown form, while Mariehamn arrive in unknown form.

Gnistan have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Mariehamn have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Gnistan and Mariehamn in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Gnistan to win with 71% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Gnistan 6206%, Draw 3500%, Mariehamn 294%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gnistan vs Mariehamn?

GoalVio's model predicts Gnistan to win with 71% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs Mariehamn?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Gnistan vs Mariehamn?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gnistan vs Mariehamn?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more