Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnistan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Gnistan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JJK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gnistan hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Ykkönen, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gnistan
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20