Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnistan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gnistan 3-2 Ilves
Original prediction
Gnistan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Gnistan
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GnistanDLWWW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IlvesDWLLW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
GnistanIlves
50.9Attack54.4
57.9Defence45.6
50.9Form43.9
53.4Power48.5
1.81xG1.24