Gnistanvs
HJK Helsinki
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK Helsinki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gnistan 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Original prediction
HJK Helsinki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.09 | 22.6% | 35.8% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.7% | 24.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 53.8% | 39.9% | -13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
HJK Helsinki
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
HJK Helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20