Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnistan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Gnistan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FF Jaro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gnistan hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gnistan
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00