Génesisvs
Estrella Roja
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Génesis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Génesis 0-0 Estrella Roja, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Génesis 1-2 Estrella Roja
Original prediction
Génesis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.6% | 42.0% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.5% | 30.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.9% | 27.9% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Projected Score
Génesis 0–0 Estrella Roja
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Génesis
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Génesis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GénesisLDLWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella RojaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
GénesisEstrella Roja
37.0Attack50.0
74.1Defence50.0
40.7Form50.0
50.5Power50.0
1.14xG0.72