GGOALVIO

Génesis logoGénesisvsCD Real Sociedad logoCD Real Sociedad

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Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/14/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Génesis · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Génesis are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CD Real Sociedad are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Génesis hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Liga Nacional, while Génesis holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Génesis

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Génesis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GénesisWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
CD Real SociedadL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
GénesisCD Real Sociedad
33.3Attack36.8
66.7Defence52.6
50.0Form38.6
51.0Power45.3
1.36xG0.86
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