Génesisvs
CD Olimpia
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Génesis 0-1 CD Olimpia
Original prediction
CD Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.82 | 23.6% | 25.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 48.9% | 46.5% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
CD Olimpia
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40