Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Åsane II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gneist 3-3 Åsane II
Original prediction
Åsane II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.3% | 32.8% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.7% | 24.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.0% | 42.9% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Åsane II
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Åsane II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GneistLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Åsane IIWDLWL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GneistÅsane II
16.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form100.0
11.2Power72.0
1.99xG2.83