Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Førde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Gneist are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Førde are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 4.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Førde hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.7% in the 3. Division - Girone 3, while Førde holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Førde
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
7.7%
Førde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 24 · GA 16 · avg 4.80/3.20