GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/5/2025, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Yate Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Yate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yate Town

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityDLWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yate TownWWWDW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gloucester CityYate Town
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power64.8
1.26xG1.58
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