Gloucester Cityvs
Taunton Town
POSTPONEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taunton Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.3% | 37.3% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.8% | 22.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 22.9% | 40.5% | 17.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Taunton Town
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Taunton Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gloucester CityWWDWL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Taunton TownLDWLL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Gloucester CityTaunton Town
44.4Attack85.2
37.0Defence18.5
25.9Form48.1
38.6Power51.4
2.21xG2.88