GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Gloucester City holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gloucester City

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityLWWDL

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineLLWDW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Gloucester CitySwindon Supermarine
33.3Attack57.9
33.3Defence27.0
0.0Form38.9
26.7Power42.8
2.11xG1.84
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